To give you an idea of what long-range forecasting is like, think of it like a Plinko board from the long-running CBS game show "The Price is Right." The top of the board, where you drop the puck ...

To play Plinko, you choose your bet amount and release the ball down the Plinko board. The goal is to land the ball in a high-value slot. Games of this kind include many settings you can play with ...